A conservative news and views blog.

Location: St. Louis, Missouri, United States

Monday, February 06, 2012

Delayed Warming and the Coming Global Cooling

Timothy Birdnow

Here is a paper that explains a. why the Earth is slow to warm when the sun is more active and b. that the sun is less active and so we will enter a cooling cycle in time.

From the paper:

"Temporal changes in the power of the longwave radiation of the system Earth-atmosphere emitted to space always lag behind changes in the power of absorbed solar radiation due to slow change of its enthalpy. That is why the debit and credit parts of the average annual energy budget of the terrestrial globe with its air and water envelope are practically always in an unbalanced state.

Average annual balance of the thermal budget of the system Earth-atmosphere during long time period will reliably determine the course and value of both an energy excess accumulated by the Earth or the energy deficit in the thermal budget which, with account for data of the TSI forecast, can define and predict well in advance the direction and amplitude of the forthcoming climate changes.

From the early 1990s we observe bicentennial decrease in both the TSI and the portion of its energy absorbed by the Earth. The Earth as a planet will henceforward have negative balance in the energy budget which will result in the temperature drop in approximately 2014. Due to increase of albedo and decrease of the greenhouse gases atmospheric concentration the absorbed portion of solar energy and the influence of the greenhouse effect It will additionally decline."

End excerpt.

Well, well, well! Turns out that there is a time lag between solar increase and warming, and decrease and cooling. The Gang Green argues that the Grand Maximum did not coincide exactly with planetary warming, and that the Earth, while not having warmed during the 21st century, has not cooled down with the solar minumum , so the sun is immaterial. This bursts their bubble.

And the future is glum, because the squirrels have too many nuts in their craniums and not enough in storage for winter. We have been systematically reducing our energy supplies in an effort to save us from global warming, and now we have no reserves for global cooling. It's coming.

Hat tip: SEPP

Weblog Commenting and Trackback by